Home › Prediction Markets › World Prediction Markets › US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? It is currently trading at a 72% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $167.6K. Scheduled resolution: September 30, 2026. Last updated September 9, 2026 at 7:29 PM ET Current Market Probability Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart 72% 0.72 $167.6K $69.4K Polymarket Open September 30, 2026 Market Information Category Event Source World Prediction Markets US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause) View on Polymarket Historical Market Probability Current 72% Related Prediction Markets US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? Popular Prediction Markets Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?