Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? It is currently trading at a 16% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $63.6M. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026.

Last updated August 31, 2026 at 11:09 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
16% 0.16 $63.6M $671.5K Polymarket Open January 01, 2027 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
16% 26% 18% 16%

Related Prediction Markets

Popular Prediction Markets