Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?

Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? It is currently trading at a 34% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 1, 2050.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 7:22 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Platform Status Resolution date Chart
34% 0.34 Kalshi Open January 01, 2050 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago Current
26% 31% 34%

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