Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? It is currently trading at a 20% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $15.1M. Scheduled resolution: November 6, 2028.

Last updated August 31, 2026 at 11:24 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
20%	0.20	$15.1M	$320.1K	Polymarket	Open	November 07, 2028

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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