Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? It is currently trading at a 1% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $1.5M. Scheduled resolution: January 1, 2027.

Last updated August 31, 2026 at 11:24 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
1%	0.01	$1.5M	$146.8K	Polymarket	Open	January 01, 2027

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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