Will Chancellor of Germany be the first to leave office?

Will Chancellor of Germany be the first to leave office? It is currently trading at a 27% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 1, 2045.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 5:21 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Platform Status Resolution date Chart
27% 0.27 Kalshi Open January 01, 2045 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago Current
25% 43% 27%

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