Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? It is currently trading at a 16% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $28.0M. Scheduled resolution: November 7, 2028.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 5:21 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
16% 0.15 $28.0M $278.6K Polymarket Open November 08, 2028 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
18% 18% 20% 16%

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