Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? It is currently trading at a 50% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $15.4M. Scheduled resolution: November 6, 2028.

Last updated August 31, 2026 at 11:24 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
50%	0.49	$15.4M	$288.2K	Polymarket	Open	November 07, 2028

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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