Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? It is currently trading at a 48% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $15.9M. Scheduled resolution: November 7, 2028.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 3:04 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
48%	0.48	$15.9M	$358.7K	Polymarket	Open	November 08, 2028

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

Related Prediction Markets

• Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Popular Prediction Markets

• Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
• Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
• Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?