Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? It is currently trading at a 21% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $17.2M. Scheduled resolution: November 7, 2028.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 2:18 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
21% 0.21 $17.2M $455.3K Polymarket Open November 08, 2028 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
20% 23% 20% 21%

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