Will the Republican party win the Presidency in 2032?

Will the Republican party win the Presidency in 2032? It is currently trading at a 53% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 21, 2033.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 2:26 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
53%	0.53	Kalshi	Open	January 21, 2033

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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