Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? It is currently trading at a 77% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $21.4M. Scheduled resolution: October 4, 2026.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 11:17 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
77% 0.77 $21.4M $667.9K Polymarket Open October 05, 2026 View chart

Market Information

Category Event Source
Political Prediction Markets Brazil Presidential Election View on Polymarket

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
89% 54% 26% 77%

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