Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? It is currently trading at a 94% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $170. Scheduled resolution: October 31, 2026.

Last updated October 1, 2026 at 1:51 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
94% 0.94 $170 $117 Polymarket Open November 01, 2026 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

Current
94%

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