Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?

Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050? It is currently trading at a 68% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 1, 2050.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 7:52 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
68%	0.68	Kalshi	Open	January 01, 2050

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Historical Market Probability

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