When will a supervolcano next erupt?

When will a supervolcano next erupt? It is currently trading at a 39% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 1, 2050.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 4:28 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
39%	0.39	Kalshi	Open	January 01, 2050

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

Related Prediction Markets

• Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
• Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
• Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
• Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
• Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
• Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
• Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Popular Prediction Markets

• Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
• Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
• Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?