Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Market	Outcome	Last / Yes	Volume
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	Last $0.088 Yes $0.093	331,735
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	Last $0.42 Yes $0.42	290,598
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	Last $0.30 Yes $0.30	275,050
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	Last $0.024 Yes $0.026	201,576
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	Last $0.19 Yes $0.20	112,023
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	Last $0.013 Yes $0.015	95,068
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	Last $0.0025 Yes $0.0030	92,755
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	Last $0.0015 Yes $0.0020	83,583
Will another person win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	Last $0.50 Yes $1.00	0

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