Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? It is currently trading at a 41% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $284.2K. Scheduled resolution: October 25, 2026.
Last updated October 15, 2026 at 5:58 PM ET
Current Market Probability
| Probability | Price | Volume | Liquidity | Platform | Status | Resolution date | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41% | 0.41 | $284.2K | $111.6K | Polymarket | Open | October 26, 2026 |
|
Market Information
| Category | Event | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Political Prediction Markets | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory | View on Polymarket |
Historical Market Probability
| 7 days ago | Current |
|---|---|
| 25% | 41% |
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