Home › Prediction Markets › World Prediction Markets › Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? It is currently trading at a 4% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $40.4M. Scheduled resolution: December 30, 2026. Last updated August 31, 2026 at 10:24 PM ET Current Market Probability Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart 4% 0.04 $40.4M $451.7K Polymarket Open December 31, 2026 Market Information Category Event Source World Prediction Markets Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? View on Polymarket Historical Market Probability 7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current 4% 4% 6% 4% Related Prediction Markets Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Popular Prediction Markets Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
