Home › Prediction Markets › Other Prediction Markets › Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? It is currently trading at a 14% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $1.8M. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026. Last updated October 16, 2026 at 6:21 AM ET Current Market Probability Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart 14% 0.14 $1.8M $151.6K Polymarket Open January 01, 2027 Market Information Category Event Source Other Prediction Markets Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? View on Polymarket Historical Market Probability 7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current 15% 22% 33% 14% Related Prediction Markets Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Popular Prediction Markets Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
