Home › Prediction Markets › Other Prediction Markets › Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? It is currently trading at a 51% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $1.4M. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026. Last updated November 5, 2026 at 10:32 AM ET Current Market Probability Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart 51% 0.51 $1.4M $110.9K Polymarket Open January 01, 2027 Market Information Category Event Source Other Prediction Markets Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? View on Polymarket Historical Market Probability 7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current 29% 21% 23% 51% Related Prediction Markets Xi Jinping out before 2027? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Popular Prediction Markets Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
