Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? It is currently trading at a 14% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $2.8M. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 4:28 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
14% 0.14 $2.8M $167.6K Polymarket Open January 01, 2027 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
16% 22% 36% 14%

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