US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026?

US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026? It is currently trading at a 18% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $169.5K. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026.

Last updated November 6, 2026 at 5:33 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
18% 0.18 $169.5K $95.1K Polymarket Open January 01, 2027 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

Current
18%

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