When will a supervolcano next erupt?

When will a supervolcano next erupt? It is currently trading at a 23% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 1, 2050.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 2:26 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Platform Status Resolution date Chart
23% 0.23 Kalshi Open January 01, 2050 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago Current
24% 19% 23%

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