Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?

Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? It is currently trading at a 24% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $709.9K. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026.

Last updated November 4, 2026 at 9:36 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
24%	0.24	$709.9K	$82.1K	Polymarket	Open	December 31, 2026

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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