Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? It is currently trading at a 14% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $208.2K. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026.

Last updated November 4, 2026 at 9:36 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
14% 0.14 $208.2K $35.9K Polymarket Open January 01, 2027 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
12% 10% 28% 14%

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