Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?

Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship? It is currently trading at a 64% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 1, 2030.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 2:26 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
64%	0.64	Kalshi	Open	January 01, 2030

Market Information

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