Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? It is currently trading at a 1% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $2.0M. Scheduled resolution: September 30, 2026.

Last updated August 31, 2026 at 11:24 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
1% 0.01 $2.0M $89.1K Polymarket Open October 01, 2026 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
1% 1% 3% 1%

Related Prediction Markets

Popular Prediction Markets