Will any U.S. state experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?

Will any U.S. state experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035? It is currently trading at a 16% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2035.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 1:18 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
16%	0.16	Kalshi	Open	December 31, 2035

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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