Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? It is currently trading at a 22% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $24.9M. Scheduled resolution: October 4, 2026.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 7:37 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
22% 0.22 $24.9M $768.5K Polymarket Open October 05, 2026 View chart

Market Information

Category Event Source
Political Prediction Markets Brazil Presidential Election View on Polymarket

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
14% 46% 60% 22%

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