Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? It is currently trading at a 56% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $9.5M. Scheduled resolution: October 3, 2026.

Last updated August 31, 2026 at 11:24 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
56% 0.56 $9.5M $344.9K Polymarket Open October 04, 2026 View chart

Market Information

Category Event Source
Political Prediction Markets Brazil Presidential Election View on Polymarket

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
62% 66% 40% 56%

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