Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? It is currently trading at a 21% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $1.6M. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 3:26 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
21% 0.21 $1.6M $29.2K Polymarket Open January 01, 2027 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago Current
28% 62% 21%

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