Home › Prediction Markets › Other Prediction Markets › Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? It is currently trading at a 8% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $2.1M. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026. Last updated October 16, 2026 at 3:34 AM ET Current Market Probability Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart 8% 0.08 $2.1M $14.7K Polymarket Open January 01, 2027 Market Information Category Event Source Other Prediction Markets Will Hezbollah disarm by...? View on Polymarket Historical Market Probability 7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current 8% 10% 7% 8% Related Prediction Markets Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Popular Prediction Markets Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
