Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?

Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? It is currently trading at a 8% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $2.1M. Scheduled resolution: March 30, 2026.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 2:26 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
8%	0.08	$2.1M	$8.2K	Polymarket	Open	March 31, 2026

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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