Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? It is currently trading at a 9% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $53.5K. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 3:27 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
9%	0.09	$53.5K	$12.9K	Polymarket	Open	January 01, 2027

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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