Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? It is currently trading at a 16% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $45.4K. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 2:26 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
16%	0.16	$45.4K	$2.9K	Polymarket	Open	January 01, 2027

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

Related Prediction Markets

• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026?
• Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
• Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
• Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
• Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
• Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Popular Prediction Markets

• Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
• Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
• Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?