Will it be confirmed that 2029 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred?

Will it be confirmed that 2029 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred? It is currently trading at a 46% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 8, 2030.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 1:18 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
46%	0.46	Kalshi	Open	January 08, 2030

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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