Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that Ofer Winter is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?

Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that Ofer Winter is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030? It is currently trading at a 10% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: November 4, 2030.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 4:28 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Platform Status Resolution date Chart
10% 0.10 Kalshi Open November 04, 2030 View chart

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Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago Current
11% 2% 10%

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