Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? It is currently trading at a 86% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $1.1M. Scheduled resolution: September 30, 2026.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 12:10 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
86%	0.86	$1.1M	$112.3K	Polymarket	Open	October 01, 2026

Market Information

Category	Event	Source
World Prediction Markets	Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?	View on Polymarket

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago	30 days ago	Current
78%	37%	86%

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