Will P vs NP be resolved before 2040?

Will P vs NP be resolved before 2040? It is currently trading at a 95% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 7, 2032.

Last updated October 28, 2026 at 12:34 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
95%	0.95	Kalshi	Open	January 07, 2032

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

Related Prediction Markets

• Will P vs NP be resolved before 2027?
• Will P vs NP be resolved before 2028?
• Will P vs NP be resolved before 2029?
• Will P vs NP be resolved before 2030?
• Will P vs NP be resolved before 2035?
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Popular Prediction Markets

• Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
• Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?