Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? It is currently trading at a 8% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $118.3K. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 1:40 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
8% 0.07 $118.3K $5.3K Polymarket Open January 01, 2027 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
6% 7% 6% 8%

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