Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? It is currently trading at a 6% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $122.4K. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 5:36 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
6% 0.06 $122.4K $19.5K Polymarket Open January 01, 2027 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
5% 5% 9% 6%

Related Prediction Markets

Popular Prediction Markets