Will Spain vote to leave the EU before 2030?

Will Spain vote to leave the EU before 2030? It is currently trading at a 4% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 1, 2030.

Last updated September 12, 2026 at 5:47 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
4%	0.04	Kalshi	Open	January 01, 2030

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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