Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? It is currently trading at a 4% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $215.8K. Scheduled resolution: December 30, 2026.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 4:27 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
4% 0.04 $215.8K $6.1K Polymarket Open December 31, 2026 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
3% 4% 5% 4%

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