Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2029 be above 10.0%?

Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2029 be above 10.0%? It is currently trading at a 10% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 11, 2030.

Last updated October 18, 2026 at 6:23 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Platform Status Resolution date Chart
10% 0.10 Kalshi Open January 11, 2030 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago Current
9% 10%

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