Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 10.0%?

Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 10.0%? It is currently trading at a 11% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 16, 2032.

Last updated October 18, 2026 at 2:36 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Platform Status Resolution date Chart
11% 0.11 Kalshi Open January 16, 2032 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago Current
8% 11%

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