Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2036 be above 3.5%?
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2036 be above 3.5%? It is currently trading at a 78% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 16, 2037.
Last updated October 18, 2026 at 11:42 AM ET
Current Market Probability
| Probability | Price | Platform | Status | Resolution date | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 0.78 | Kalshi | Open | January 16, 2037 |
|
Market Information
| Category | Event | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Economics Prediction Markets | US unemployment rate at year-end 2036 | View on Kalshi |
Historical Market Probability
| Current |
|---|
| 78% |
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