Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? It is currently trading at a 4% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $239.6K. Scheduled resolution: March 30, 2026.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 12:55 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
4% 0.04 $239.6K $43.8K Polymarket Open March 31, 2026 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
4% 4% 10% 4%

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