Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 1.50%?

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 1.50%? It is currently trading at a 40% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 8, 2032.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 4:35 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Platform Status Resolution date Chart
40% 0.40 Kalshi Open January 08, 2032 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago Current
40% 68% 40%

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