Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 3.50%?

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 3.50%? It is currently trading at a 58% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 8, 2031.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 1:55 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Platform Status Resolution date Chart
58% 0.58 Kalshi Open January 08, 2031 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago Current
58% 45% 58%

Related Prediction Markets

Popular Prediction Markets