Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 4.00%?

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 4.00%? It is currently trading at a 47% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 8, 2031.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 1:55 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Platform Status Resolution date Chart
47% 0.47 Kalshi Open January 08, 2031 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago Current
47% 47%

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