Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 4.25%?
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 4.25%? It is currently trading at a 50% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 8, 2037.
Last updated October 16, 2026 at 11:17 PM ET
Current Market Probability
| Probability | Price | Platform | Status | Resolution date | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50% | 0.50 | Kalshi | Open | January 08, 2037 |
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Market Information
| Category | Event | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Economics Prediction Markets | Fed funds rate at end of 2036 | View on Kalshi |
Historical Market Probability
| 7 days ago | 30 days ago | Current |
|---|---|---|
| 50% | 42% | 50% |
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