Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 4.75%?

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 4.75%? It is currently trading at a 32% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 8, 2036.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 5:51 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Platform Status Resolution date Chart
32% 0.32 Kalshi Open January 08, 2036 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago Current
32% 23% 32%

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