Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 4.75%?

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 4.75%? It is currently trading at a 23% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 8, 2036.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 2:26 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Platform Status Resolution date Chart
23% 0.23 Kalshi Open January 08, 2036 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago Current
31% 30% 23%

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