Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 3.50%?

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 3.50%? It is currently trading at a 53% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 8, 2034.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 3:26 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Platform Status Resolution date Chart
53% 0.53 Kalshi Open January 08, 2034 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago Current
53% 53%

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