Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 4.75%?

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 4.75%? It is currently trading at a 15% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 8, 2034.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 4:28 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Platform Status Resolution date Chart
15% 0.15 Kalshi Open January 08, 2034 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago Current
15% 18% 15%

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