Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?

Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030? It is currently trading at a 39% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 1, 2030.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 6:52 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
39%	0.39	Kalshi	Open	January 01, 2030

Market Information

Category	Event	Source
Other Prediction Markets	Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?	View on Kalshi

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago	30 days ago	Current
35%	34%	39%

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